EG INDUSTRIES BHD

Periodically,  TCB will pick a stock we may like to trade short term.  So, this week, TCB have selected the stock, EG as our *Stock In Focus (SIF)*.  Please do not take this as a buy signal as our TA reading for these stocks are for sharing purpose only.  Do calculate your own risk/reward ratio if you decided to trade this counter. 

Background Information

EG Industries Berhad ("EG") was first listed on the KLSE in 1993 under the name of Dai-Ichi Industries Berhad. Today, EG as an investment holding company, operates through its subsidiaries that include SMT Technologies Sdn Bhd, which is engaged in the provision of electronic manufacturing services for computer peripherals, telecommunication and consumer electronic/electrical products industries ; Mastimber Industries Sdn Bhd, which is engaged in the manufacture and sale of two layer solid wood parquet flooring ; EG Wireless Sdn Bhd, which is an original equipment manufacturer/original design manufacturer (OEM/ODM) in complete box built products, and SMT Industries Co Ltd, which is engaged in the provision of electronic manufacturing services (EMS) for computer peripherals, telecommunication and consumer electronic/electrical, and automotive industrial products industries. It has operations in Malaysia, Singapore, Europe, the United States, Korea and Thailand.

After the announcement of its last quarter results ended 31^st Dec 2014 on 26^th Feb 2015, EG began to attract attention with trading volume reaching a high of 7.7 mil shares traded on 27^th Feb 2015.

Technical Analysis

EG is currently bullish after hitting a bottom at 0.455 which marked the end of its correction phase.

--Weekly Chart of EG--

The weekly chart's formation of the 3 white soldiers confirms the bullishness of EG. It is expected to break above RM 0.865 decisively with volume which should see it moving towards its 1^st resistance of RM 0.90 and subsequently onward to challenge its strong resistance at RM 0.94. It should enjoy an immediate support at RM 0.78.  A successful take out of the resistance at RM 0.94 will see it trend towards its 1st target price of RM 1.00 before moving towards a final target of RM 1.11.

--Daily Chart of EG--

On the daily chart, after closing the past two days with a doji pattern, it closed with a bullish engulfing pattern on 11/3 reaffirming its bullish trend.  It has been consolidating after attempting to break the high of 0.855 on 5/3.  It tested the RM 0.865 resistance on 11/3 but ended up closing at RM 0.85 mainly due to heavy T4 selling pressures. It is poised to further its uptrend and It is expected to break RM 0.865 anytime soon to move towards its target prices of RM 1.00 and RM 1.11 respectively. Stop-loss if RM 0.775 is violated.

Key notes

EG’s latest quarterly report for financial period ended 31/12/2014 reflected a very much improved financial performance.  (http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/1886685)

BDB (BINA DARULAMAN BHD)

Periodically,  TCB will pick a stock we may like to trade short term.  So, this week, TCB have selected the stock, BDB as our *Stock In Focus (SIF)*.  Please do not take this as a buy signal as our TA reading for these stocks are for sharing purpose only.  Do calculate your own risk/reward ratio if you decided to trade this counter. 

--Weekly Chart of BDB--

In recent weeks, BDB attracted much interest that resulted in increased trading volume. Currently, it is retesting it's resistance level at 0.96 and should enjoy immediate support at 0.82 and 0.71 respectively. It needs to take out the Gap resistance at 0.96 and 0.995/1.00, where 1.00 is also the psychological resistance price. It's current trading volume is at a good level that primes it for a rounding bottom breakout if it closes above 0.96. The mid-term target prices (TP) are 1.21 and 1.28. Stop-loss if 0.71 is violated. 

--Daily Chart of BDB--

After a drastic fall in late 2014, it hits a bottom at 0.71.  BDB is now ready to enter stage 2 when the gap of 0.96 and 0.995/1.00 is closed. It has a good support level at 0.885/0.88 and also at the next support level of 0.845. Gap resistance is at 0.96 and 0.995/1.00. If the support level at 0.885/0.88 managed to hold, it will close the gap and surge further up north in the near future. TPs are estimated to be 1.10 and 1.14. Stop-loss if 0.845 is violated. 

Key Notes

1.   BDB's latest quarterly report registered an improved financial performance. (Ref: http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/1885581)

2.   BDB is strengthening its property activities in Kedah via the proposed acquisition of several parcels of land to increase its land bank for property development. (http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/1862337)

CENSOF HOLDINGS BERHAD

Periodically,  TCB will pick a stock we may like to trade short term.  So, this week, TCB have picked the stock, CENSOF as our "Stock In Focus (SIF)".  Please do not take this as a buy signal as our TA reading for these stocks are for sharing purposes only.  Do calculate your own risk/reward ratio if you decided to trade this counter.

BACKGROUND INFORMATION

Stock Name	CENSOF
Stock Code	5195
Listing	Main Market
Sector	Technology
Industry Classification	Industry Class Industry Group Industry Sub Industry Main Industry Technology Software and IT Services Application Software Solution Providers
Company Activities	The Company is principally engaged in the business of investment holding.
Group Activities	The Censof Group is a financial management and business solutions provider. The Group provides its services to government and commercial sectors. The Group is organised into the following main business segments: a) Financial Management Software Solution - design, development, implementation and marketing of financial management software and related services via its subsidiary, Century Software (Malaysia) Sdn. Bhd. This segment is the main revenue contributor. b) Payment Aggregation Solution - providing services for financial applications, electronic payments and collections solutions via its subsidiary, T-Melmax Sdn. Bhd. c) Wealth Management Solution - providing services for portfolio management, fund accounting, unit registry, selling agent and online transaction via its subsidiary, PT. Praisindo Teknologi. d) Training Solution - providing training services in areas related to information technology via its subsidiary, Knowledgecom Corporation Sdn Bhd. e) Information Communication Technology - supply, delivery, installation, testing, commissioning and maintenance of IT hardware, development, management and provision of Business To Business (B2B) e-commerce and computerised transaction facilitation services, providing of cyber security solutions, managed services, project fulfilment, assets maintenance and contact centres.
Principal Products / Services	a) Financial management software solution and services, including financial management system for corporate, government, distribution and retail sectors; local council system; tender management system and business performance management b) Payment aggregation solution - It provides web-based online banking solutions for all types of bulk payments and collections for Corporations, Universities and small and medium-sized enterprises.  c) Wealth management solution including investment management system and web security & wan optimisation solution d) Training services in areas related to information technology

FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

Reference - the company’s Annual Reports

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

There is a saying that "History Always Repeats Itself".  Well, will History Repeats Itself  with Censof? 

Historically, on August 2013, Censof formed a Hammer after being beaten down to a low of RM 0.32. Subsequently, it broke out from its Falling Resistance line and trended all the way up to the then high of  RM 0.63.  This pattern of price movement was detected in Censof lately.  Its current price movement bears similarity to the aforementioned pattern. It formed a Hammer after its price was beaten down to RM 0.29 in Dec, 2014 and it broke out of its Falling Resistance line this week.

--Weekly Chart --

Analyzing it in further detail, on the weekly chart (medium term), Censof is currently in Stage 2 of the market cycle which is very bullish. It has been consolidating for a few weeks in Stage 1 since it hit its all-time low of RM 0.29 after going through Stage 4 when its price free fall from RM 0.625 to RM 0.29. Stage 4 ended with the low of RM 0.29. Since then, during the 2^nd week of January 2015, its price has been trending upward strongly with bullish candles that included the bullish 3 white soldiers pattern. This week it has broken above its strong downtrend resistance line reinforcing its bullishness. It is trending with an upward bias towards its 3 years high of RM 0.67.

So, its interesting to observe to see if history will repeat itself to witness Censof trending back to its previous high of RM 0.67.

--Daily Chart --

On the daily chart (short term), it broke out of its immediate Resistance Line at RM 0.48 on 23/01/2015 with increased volume confirming its Trend Reversal. It is expected to break above RM 0.525 to test its next resistance at RM 0.56.  If broken, it should test its very strong resistance at RM 0.60/ RM 0.625. If Censof overcomes the RM 0.625 resistance, it is expected to test its previous 3 year's high at RM 0.67. Any weakness should find immediate support at RM 0.48/RM 0.47 and further back, at it strong support at RM 0.43. For the short term traders, you may want to stop loss if RM 0.46 is violated. For medium term traders, you may want to stop loss if RM 0.40 is violated.

EVERGREEN

Periodically,  TCB will pick a stock we may like to trade short term.  So, this week, TCB have picked the stock, EVERGREEN to put in *Stock In Focus (SIF)*.  Please do not take this as a buy signal as our TA reading for these stocks are for sharing purposes only.  Do calculate your own risk/reward ratio if you decided to trade this counter.

Background Information

Evergreen is a leading worldwide producer of quality engineered wood-based products consisting of Medium Density Fibreboard (MDF) and Particleboard with an annual production exceeding 1.3 million cubic meters. In response to worldwide market demands, Evergreen adopted a vertical integration strategy and expanded beyond its core Medium Density Fibreboard and Particleboard into value-added downstream products such as Paper, Veneer, Printed, Melamine Board Laminations, Knock Down Furniture, Sawn Rubberwood Timber and moved up stream producing Resin and having their own Rubber Trees Plantation. Evergreen's comprehensive range of upstream and downstream products has set the trend around the world.

Market Value :  RM 371,925,000

Share issued  :  513,000,000

Reference: http://evergreengroup.com.my/en/home

   Technical Analysis

Weekly Chart

Based on the weekly chart, it is in Stage 2 of the market cycle which is very bullish. Evergreen broke out from its Rounding Bottom Formation between RM 0.45 and RM 0.71 after almost 2 and half years which signaled a trend reversal. Not only that, it has also broken out from its long term down trend line. The immediate target is at RM 0.97 with immediate resistance at RM 0.78/RM 0.80.

Daily Chart

On 13 Aug, 2014, it was traded at a volume of 10.9 mil which was its all time high volume for the past 2 and half years. On 9 Jan, 2015, it broke out from the rounding bottom with a volume of 10.9 mil which make the breakout more valid. Any weakness due to the recent sharp rises and overbought situation may find RM 0.68 as support 1 and RM 0.63 as support 2. For a short term trader, you may want to stop loss if RM 0.68 is violated. For medium term trader, you may want to stop loss if RM 0.63 is violated.

Key Notes

1.  After registering losses in preceding quarters, Evergreen recorded profits during the quarter of 30 Sept, 2014, the first profit in many quarters, a promising sign to better performances. Subsequent quarterly results will provide a better indication of its future performances. (Ref: http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/1802053)

2. There is an ongoing litigation case involving its subsidiary which the company opined they have a strong case to defend. (Ref: http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/1605385)

INSAS

Periodically,  TCB will pick a stock we may like to trade short term.  So, this week, TCB have picked the stock, INSAS to put in *Stock In Focus (SIF)*.  Please do not take this as a buy signal as our TA reading for these stocks are for sharing purposes only.  Do calculate your own risk/reward ratio if you decided to trade this counter.

Background Information

Insas Berhad operates as an investment holding and management company in Malaysia and internationally. The company's Financial Services and Credit & Leasing segment engages in stock broking and deals in securities, credit and leasing, and granting of loans and other related financing activities; and provides share registration services, management services, and nominee agent services. Its Property Investment and Development segment is involve in property holding and investment, project management, and property management and development.

Shares Issued - 693,333m

Market Cap - 845,867m

Technical Analysis

--- INSAS: Weekly Chart ---

--- INSAS: Daily Chart ---

In recent weeks. global markets have been soaring to new highs and our local bourse has just kicked start an uptrend momentum these couple of days. Most companies are expected to release their quarterly reports soon.

From a technical point of view, INSAS on the weekly and daily chart has turned bullish. A resumption in its uptrend is expected as its share price managed to break the upper Bollinger Band and trended above the 100MA which usually will be followed by a continuation in its uptrend. The uptrend is further confirmed by the closing of the fallen gap at 1.17. Noticeably, reading from all oscillators are in the bullish region and the near term outlook remains bright for INSAS.

Based on the weekly chart, with the break up from 1.17, Insas has entered into its previous Rectangle trading pattern of 1.17 to 1.34. Its previous uptrend line (marked out by the red line) will now form its strong resistance. If it can break and stay above this line, it will be in the stage 2 cycle with the potential to scale  new highs beyond 1.34.

On the daily chart, significant resistance can be found at the 1.25 level. A decisive breakout above 1.25 with volume will spur share prices higher towards the 1.32 and 1.36 levels. However if share prices are unable to hold above the 1.25 level, it will see support at 1.17 and 1.12. A trailing stop loss of 1.07 level will be triggered.

Technical Indicators :-

RSI (14 ) - 76% (Bullish )
MACD ( 26,12 ) - 0.009 ( Bullish )
Stochastic - Bullish
Volume MA - 5.295 m ( 5days ), 4.682m ( 20 days )

Price Action Technique Analysis

A collection pattern is noticeable as refilling at 1.21 level on the trading day of 19/11/2014.
Bid pattern was healthy and positive.

IDEAL

Periodically,  TCB will pick a stock we may like to trade short term.  So, this week, TCB have picked the stock, IDEAL to put in *Stock In Focus (SIF)*.  Please do not take this as a buy signal as our TA reading for these stocks are for sharing purposes only.  Do calculate your own risk/reward ratio if you decided to trade this counter.

Ideal, as its name suggest, is "ideally" primed for a bullish pursuit. 

-- Ideal: Weekly Chart --

Since the day of 8/4/2014 when it started its bullish journey, Ideal has been trending up.  As with other stocks across the bourse, it was not spared when the global correction sets in but after a series of technical rebounds, it broke out from its symmetrical triangle on 4/11 with volume which has bullish implications.  Moving forward, it is confronted with an immediate resistance of 0.75 with strong resistance expected at 0.84.  A break above its previous high of 0.84 will take Ideal to its estimated targets of 0.90, 1.00 and 1.05 respectively in the medium term.

-- Ideal: Daily Chart --

On 19/8, Ideal achieved a new high of 0.84 supported by a large trading volume.  However, it formed a dark cloud pattern on that day which carries bearish implications.  As it panned out, Ideal did went into a 2 months consolidation.  It may have found a new bottom at 0.475 and its breakout from its Falling Resistance Line on 3/11 with increased volume confirms the new bottom.  Ideal's journey in the foreseeable future is looking up and its trading pattern is building up to what looks like a Double Bottom formation with a neckline at 0.75.  This has bullish implications attached to it.

The upward momentum has picked up lately and a break above 0.67 will take it to 0.70 and subsequently to the neckline of 0.75.  A break above 0.75 would confirm the Double Bottom  formation and it would set Ideal up to challenge its previous high  of 0.84 with an estimated target of 1.00.  The recommended stop loss is 0.47.

Key Notes:

1. Ideal's financial performance has been one of growth. Revenue increased 19% in 2013 while profits from operations were up 8%.  It rakes in good positive cash flow from operations and its borrowings were fully repaid in 2013.
2. It currently has a multiple proposal that include a private placement, acquisition and diversification. (Ref: http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/1778345)

DSONIC

Periodically,  TCB will pick a stock we may like to trade short term.  So, this week, TCB have picked the stock, DSONIC to put in *Stock In Focus (SIF)*.  Please do not take this as a buy signal as our TA reading for these stocks are for sharing purposes only.  Do calculate your own risk/reward ratio if you decided to trade this counter.

For this edition of SIF, we have featured a stock linked to one of current stock themes in play, namely, the GST and Petrol Subsidy theme.  Although, presently, it may not be fully ready for a breakout from a TA perspective, we nevertheless opine that it is a stock worth watching out for.  As with all stocks, it does carry some trading risks.

-- Dsonic: Daily Chart --

Since hitting a high of 2.425 on 1/4/2014, Dsonic underwent a 2 weeks correction that took it all the way down to 1.295, a 50% retracement. It was traded up again to the high of 2.06 in June 2014 and subsequently churned out a double top formation which broke down in Sept. 2014.  The bearish formation sent its prices down when it achieved its break down target of about 1.44, approximately a 78.6% retracement, on 8/10 and potentially could be rebounding off this retracement level.  

-- Dsonic: Daily Chart --

On 21/10, it formed an engulfing bear during the downtrend which may have the implication of a last engulfing bottom. Currently, momentum on the stock is gaining as suggested by the up trending RSI while the trading pattern has a hint of an inverted head and shoulder formation in progress which has bullish implications if a break out occurs.  The stock has an immediate support at 1.56 which if broken will have further support back at 1.49 and 1.44 respectively.  For short term traders, a stop loss of 1.43 is recommended while for mid-term traders the recommended stop loss is 1.29.

In order for it to pursue a breakout, it first needs to take out its immediate resistance at 1.64.  Further resistance awaits it at 1.72 which if broken will see it testing the strong resistance of 1.82.  A successful break in 1.82 with volume will be a break out from the downtrend line and confirms the bullish trend reversal.  

Key Notes:

1. Dsonic is heavily linked to the implementation of the petrol subsidy which represents a potential catalyst to the upward movement of the stock.